Artmetria

Artmetria

betaResearch module

Sleepers

A structured analytical surface to detect potential discrepancies between catalogue attribution, visual evidence, and taxonomic coherence — and to identify possible undervaluation as a hypothesis, not a verdict.

What it does

Market discrepancy detection, expressed as probabilities and signals.

Sleepers compares catalogue claims with corpus evidence and explicit negative controls. Outputs are calibrated for interpretation — not for standalone decision-making.

  • Detect potential discrepancies across attribution, image regions, and taxonomy.
  • Analyze visual and taxonomic signals with preserved explainability.
  • Identify possible undervaluation only as a structured hypothesis with confidence bounds.

How it works

Signals are normalized, weighted, and calibrated — then read with care.

The pipeline produces a mismatch probability, a confidence estimate, and an expected-upside index. Each step is designed to remain inspectable.

01
Signals

Visual, regional, taxonomic, and undervaluation-related inputs are normalized to a common scale.

02
Model

A weighted composition yields a latent score, then a bounded probability via a smooth transform.

03
Calibration

Confidence reflects match dispersion, top-match agreement, and penalty strength from negative examples.

Example analysis

Illustrative output (mock data)

Figures below are placeholders for demonstration. They do not describe a real lot or a real market outcome.

Probability
72%
Confidence
68%
Expected upside
55%
Signals
  • Strong similarity with Venetian 16th century paintings in the corpus.
  • Weak alignment with current attribution along taxonomic dimensions.
  • Zone-level detail supports the corpus match more than the catalogue line.
Corpus matches (illustrative)
Corpus match A
Venice · 16th c. · High Renaissance
Score 0.84
Corpus match B
Northern Italy · 16th c.
Score 0.79
Corpus match C
Workshop circle · related hand
Score 0.71
Negative control
Distant school · low taxonomy overlap
Score 0.22

Interpretation

Responsible reading

Artmetria provides structured analytical context. Sleepers does not authenticate works, issue valuations, predict prices, or recommend transactions.

  • Outputs are probabilistic and may be wrong; they require expert review when material decisions are at stake.
  • Corpus coverage and catalogue quality affect conclusions; gaps in data appear as uncertainty, not silence.
  • Expected upside is a relative index within the model, not a forecast of financial return.

Use cases

Where teams use Sleepers

Research triage

Rank candidates where attribution, corpus similarity, and taxonomic paths diverge meaningfully.

Catalogue review

Support specialists who must articulate why a line is coherent — or why it deserves a second look.

Institutional workflow

Attach structured rationale to internal memos without replacing connoisseurship or provenance research.

Beta status

Active development

Interfaces, weights, and coverage will evolve. Early access is intentionally limited while measurement and review workflows mature.

betaFeature in active development